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Sunday, 30 August 2015

Rocky Markets, “Bersih” Rally, Thought Processes


U.S. market alongside other Asian stock exchanges recently underwent a Correction. 

Malaysia’s KLSE is down 10.87% 1YR and down 6.64% YTD (28/08/2015 Bloomberg) on Friday and there were no negative surprise events over the weekend “Bersih” rally. 

Such statements should be present in abundance in the media. The following is a brief reasoning why headlines as such should not deter critical investment decisions.

The stock market is not alive. That would seem rather obvious however media always gets the best of investors by using words that portray the liveliness of the stock market. Daily, you will read words that spell out doom or boom in most media coverages. Subconsciously, these may effect your decisions unless you have already developed a rigid investment philosophy that you stick by at all times.

In a recent Bloomberg interview, Tan Teng Boo of Icapital.biz Bhd mentioned the “sell off” began as soon as the July FOMC minutes 2015 meeting minutes were released for public viewing. 

This form of observation is much more warranted than random media explanations when stocks decline in value. 

However, the writer is NOT biased towards any recommendation by others. The example(s) given is to show the "Thought Processes" that guide fund managers.

[For newer investors; a Correction/Sell Off takes place when fund managers and investors as a group sell more securities than they buy]

For a sharper look at stock markets, read Kenneth Fisher’s 11th book "Beat The Crowd”. 

In regards to media, Mr. Fisher blatantly says CNBC is NOT for serious investors (not his exact words). The point to be made is that the media have their own business which is reporting news daily to gain more viewers and advertisers for more revenue dollars to benefit their stakeholders.


All media companies have a business to run. Assuming routinely the media gave you the break down of companies’ true long term potential and all you had to do was buy and hold those stocks, they’d run out of news, out of viewers, out of advertisement dollars, out of revenues and finally out of business. Possibly a reporter with such skills may find it more rewarding to become a fund manager. The point to be made is don't be easily persuaded by news but always stick to logical, rational and workable investment philosophy(s)/strategy(s).

[Note: Media nevertheless plays an important role in maintaining efficient markets and in dissemination of information]

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway recently announced a purchase of Precision Castparts at a price above $30 billion. (As a background story, Mr. Buffett have advised investors before NOT to buy airline companies in the past.) A simple reasoning to his recent mega purchase could be that this company makes important parts for the airline industry in large quantities and that Mr Buffett views the airline industry to continuously grow. In the nearby future, it can be opined that the life spans of aircrafts alongside economic growth in Asia and other emerging nations will lead to new aircraft orders and consequently higher parts sales by Precision Castparts (cheaper parts from competitors is less probable to be consumed by the airplane industry due to high safety standards requirements). In addition, Mr Buffett also acquired a car dealership, Van-Tuyl Group in April, 2015. 

The main point to be seen is the thought process of Mr Buffett’s acquisitions. It is opined that his bet is on the long term returns in 2 major industries in 2 companies that play large and important roles within those industries. He once mentioned in a talk he gave, that the auto industry of US in the 20th century had 2000 companies but eventually only 3 of them survived. How do you choose the winner? By betting on more or less, sure bets: which are as long as the auto industry and the aviation industry prosper, services/sales/parts will be required. Companies fulfilling this increasing requirement of sufficient size and quality will prosper. As long as a company maintains its competitive position & shareholders interest among others, all shareholders will share in the benefits of that company’s prosperity. An added note; Mario Gabelli of GAMCO also uses similar thought processes in his stock purchases.

[ The talk by Warren Buffet : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2a9Lx9J8uSs ]

Back to the U.S., Malaysia, and Asian stock market Correction. Look for long term prospects. Holding long term investments saves you numerous costs that compounds over time i.e. capital gains taxes (not present in Malaysia) and brokerage costs. 

Besides below, many investors in Malaysia might be piling into Oil&Gas (O&G) stocks. 
A word of caution: These stocks have been sold as numerous KLSE listed O&G stocks are dependant on PETRONAS for their contracts. These contracts have high probability of revision clauses allowing PETRONAS to change terms during unfavourable events (i.e. current drop in commodity prices). For definite confirmation, ask investor relations of your O&G shareholding company for major O&G contract documents that should be available to all shareholders from respective company head offices. This is to ensure your stocks of contract-dependant companies are secured in times of low oil prices. Some companies may have already be forthright in disclosing their exposure to recent oil selldown.

Solar related and renewable-energy-based Companies might present an opportunity looking at advancements in technology, reduction in production costs comparable to non-renewables sources and the increasing necessary awareness in global pollution. Identifying winning companies is still in progress as cheaper non-renewable natural resources (e.g. oil) tend to depress solar stocks and vice versa.  


Stocks in View

MajuPerak Holdings Bhd 
  • Receivables from sale of land not yet realised in 2Q.
  • Long Term: Joint Venture (JV) businesses still in progress. They should provide sufficient investment returns in coming years. Realisation of JVs depend on project speed, quality, etc (check for any negative development as company has a history of negative earnings).

Perak Corp Bhd
  • Have recently pared down debts and booked gains from disposal of securities held (Integrax Bhd stock) for first half ,H1 2015

IBM (U.S.)
  • Have substantial return on equity policy and strong and large client/customer base
  • Despite declining revenues, efforts are continuously taken to remain competitive. 
  • Have a complex network of businesses that require extensive research for full business comprehension. 

Happy investing until next time. 




[DISCLOSURE: The writer currently owns minority stake in MajuPerak Holdings Bhd and Perak Corp Bhd among the mentioned stocks as of 31/08/2015 under his personal account. JR Capital LLP does NOT have any interest in mentioned stocks as of mentioned date.] 

[DISCLAIMER: Everything stated in this blog is purely the opinion of the writer and any decision taken should be based on sound judgement with risks fully born by the decision maker. The writer shall bear no responsibility for any losses due to adherence of advices blogged by the writer or any commenters.  Informational discrepancies are possible and will be corrected if any.]






Friday, 31 July 2015

Global Stocks mixed, China down, Malaysia 1MDB

China: Shanghai Index (mainland)
- is up 67.77% in the past 1 year (1YR) and up 13.83% Year To Date (YTD)

U.S.: DJIA
- is up 9.69% 1YR and up 0.87% YTD

Malaysia: KLSE
- is down 5.09% 1YR and down 0.69% YTD 
[Data: Bloomber.com 31/07/2015]


China economic data & the showing of slowdown, is of global consequence. China consumes a large part of many country’s output. However;

Shanghai stock index have been depressed for a few years when economic data was good (high digits GDP growth) (e.g. 2011-2014). Hence, a major movement upwards was due sooner or later especially with the introduction of Hong Kong-Shanghai stock connect late 2014. 

Despite this, the move upwards in 2014 was extremely rapid (more than a 100% increase). The recent correction is opined as healthy. Moving forward, growth in GDP though low accounts for a large population base. Total Consumption should be healthy in many years to come. Risks would extend to sudden government policy changes and low visibility of actual economic data (the latter being a common problem for many countries and companies).

Moving on;
DJIA’s valuation can be considered as high, taking into account the present low interest rate environment. This is as companies are all paying a very low interest rates on capital employed i.e. loans (refinanced) and new bonds. When rates go up, companies with lower margins will register lower net profits if they had not fixed in low interest rates (costs). If rates remain low, then stocks can be viewed as cheap (Mr. Buffet agrees on camera on the last point). 

Timing stocks?
Election year is coming up in the States (U.S.). Making moves (as such increasing interest rates) that may affect election outcome can be argued as a viable point. However, Michael Moore’s documentary Capitalism: A Love Story around 1:28:00 might suggest timing of Crisis (2008) may develop close to Election Time. 

[For an interesting analysis on Political history Versus Wall Street returns, read Kenneth Fisher (Investment Manager/Billionaire/Forbes Columnist); 

Regardless, if you do purchase stocks that are ugly in price or from a trading Point of View but have great balance sheets and good viable business models, then timing becomes redundant. Probability of getting timing right Versus getting fundamentals right: most likely fundamentalists win in the long run. Regardless, timing is definitely possible with much profits to be made. 

KLSE is having trouble as;
Numerous scandals have risen in Malaysia (1MDB). Oil and Gas sector that makes up about 1/5 of Malaysia's GDP is suffering from the drop in oil prices, alongside, their lenders (banks) should companies begin to default under stress of prolonged lower oil prices. Costs of living of consumers have risen with subsidy cuts and GST implementation among others. Currency (MYR) has plunged to asian financial crises levels (USD1=RM3.82). 

Overall, it is opined Malaysia will strive in the longer term due to rich natural resources, diverse capable manpower and improving business opportunities among others. Companies that are reliant on government contracts (GLCs) are likely to suffer in the unlikely event the leading political party loses out in the next election. Probable rallies might affect investor sentiments. Moreover, it is opined KLSE (displaying 30 Malaysian companies) has rich valuations unless in the unlikely event interest rates are reduced or those 30 companies are replaced by upcoming cheaper valued companies.

Thus, buying opportunities will arise should there be a market correction. KLSE stocks nevertheless do not prioritise shareholders as much as American companies do. Hence, selection of stocks should always take into account management quality, identity of major shareholders and history of Shareholderism among others. 


Stocks in View

MajuPerak Holdings Bhd
  • Upcoming receivables from sale of land. 
  • Long Term: JV businesses in Bamboo project, solar projects, housing projects.
  • However, company has bad history of earnings but losses are usually very low comparatively to non-revalued Net Asset Value.

Parkson Holdings Bhd
  • Selling at 10 year lows with numerous long term strategies being put into action to ramp net profits back up.
  • Gross margins have been maintained. In China, net profits have been affected by closed down stores, increasing retail competition with increasing retail demand, anti-graft measures. New stores and refurbished stores profit/loss for about the past year and a half is yet to be reflected in Parkson Retail Group's profit & loss statement.
  • Recent restructuring of Parson Retail Asia Ltd (Singapore) to be acquired by Parkson Retail Group Ltd (Hong Kong) will see an incoming cash of up to RM600,000,000 into Parkson Bhd’s coffers to be used for business expansions etc (Overall Parkson cash level not affected).

Oldtown Bhd
  • Long Term Branding profits. Short Term expansion opportunities in Australia wherein first outlet has begun operation.


Happy investing until next time. 




[DISCLOSURE: The writer currently owns minority stake in MajuPerak Holdings Bhd, Parkson Holdings Bhd and Oldtown Bhd among the mentioned stocks as of 31/07/2015 under his personal account. JR Capital LLP does NOT have any interest in mentioned stocks as of mentioned date.] 

[DISCLAIMER: Everything stated in this blog is purely the opinion of the writer and any decision taken should be based on sound judgement with risks fully born by the decision maker. The writer shall bear no responsibility for any losses due to adherence of advices blogged by the writer or any commenters.  Informational discrepancies are possible and will be corrected if any.]


Thursday, 4 June 2015

PERAK CORPORATION BHD Simple Research Report



Shares Outstanding 
100,000,000
Market Capitalisation (at RM3.30)
330,000,000
Total Assets
827,975,444
Total Liabilities
176,551,875
Net Asset Value
651,423,569
NAV per share
6.51
NAV (discounted ~30%)
4.56
Gross Margin - 5 YR. Avg.  Source - Reuters
63,090,000
Net Profit Margin - 5 YR. Avg. Source - Reuters 
33,640,000


Value per Share Today
Total Cash (subject to >RM12m reserves/trust/pledge/etc): approx. RM158,618,895
The above does NOT include sale of Integrax Bhd shares recently completed at approx. RM150,310,000 completed on 17 April 2015.

Hence, Total Cash, after disposal of Integrax (which should be booked in the next quarterly report) should increase to approx. RM308,928,895 sufficient to settle all debts leaving each share with an estimated minimum worth per share of RM4.56. Duly note that Total Assets already encompasses mentioned Integrax stake, which upon sale, the proceeds is merely transformed into liquid cash plus additional profit earned from sale minus cost of investment.
[Perak Corp. shares NAV is discounted at 30%, taking into account probable value adjustments, suitable in calculating possible underpriced take over value]

In addition, 5 year income averages can be considered stable and high relative to servicing debt expenses and dividend payouts.


Business Nature
Perak Corp. Bhd (henceforth the company) is a property and investment holding company, which engages in real property development and provision of management services. It operates through the following segments: Infrastructure, Township Development, Hotel and Tourism, and Management Services and Others. The Infrastructure segment provides maritime services in respect of the development of an integrated privatized project and encompassing operations of multipurpose port facilities, operation and maintenance of a bulk terminal, sales and rental of port related land and other ancillary activities. The Township Development segment deals with the development of real property and ancillary services. The Hotel and Tourism segment focuses on hotelier and restaurateur activities. The Management Services and Others segment includes property investment and distribution, and provision of management services. The company was founded on January 11, 1991 and is headquartered in Ipoh, Malaysia. (Source: WSJ.com)

Note: The company has almost fully utilised its land banks (>94%) for Bandar Maju Jaya development and land banks from its port land. 
More land (1002.939 acres) is in the process (since 28/02/2012) of being acquired in exchange of debt owed to company. More info can be found in the company’s Annual Audited Accounts 2014 part 2, page 115-124; 
[http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/4725485].

Future
In line with Perak Corp’s Township Development & Hotel and Tourism segments, a joint venture with Sanderson Group worth more than the entire Market Capitalisation(at RM3.30 per share) of Perak Corp is the RM450,000,000 project, estimated to be completed in 2016. This humongous project is known as MAPS or The Movie Animation Park Studios will include a Dreamworks-dedicated zone, featuring characters from animated movies such as Mr Peabody and Sherman, The Croods, Megamind and Casper the Friendly Ghost as reported by theStar on 30/3/2014 and subsequent articles.

Conclusion
This state linked company for years has been run with consistent income performance (and debt management) with number of shares outstanding unchanged and a steady trend of increasing NAV among the points bearing shareholder centricity. With the price paid per share, the value you receive far exceeds cost. Looking ahead, income stream from upcoming and ongoing operations should translate into the continuity in NAV growth (asset value) and sufficient cash for future dividend payouts which may increase with business prosperity to benefit shareholders, state and country.

As always, investment (a longer time frame) is recommended, trading is NOT recommended. There are much more elements to scrutinise in company valuation prior investing. All aspects analysed and mentioned is from more detailed analysis, simplified. It is opined Perak Corporation Bhd to be undervalued currently and a good long term investment should management maintain their rigour, past trends are followed, more land is strategically acquired and sold & MAPS is successfully launched. 

Until next time, happy investing.



[DISCLOSURE: 
The writer has interest in the company analysed.


[DISCLAIMER: Everything stated in this blog is purely the opinion of the writer and any decision taken should be based on sound judgement with risks fully born by the decision maker. The writer shall bear no responsibility for any losses due to adherence of advices blogged by the writer or any commenters.  Informational discrepancies are possible and will be corrected if any.]

Thursday, 28 May 2015

JR Capital PLT / LLP

JR Capital is a limited liability partnership that was recently formed in Malaysia by the writer to enhance private partners' wealth. 

The formation is due to the believe that there is presently lack of transparent & focused investment funds. We’ve also come across many individual stories regarding funds that have; 

  • high management fees + performance fees + other fees (that eats away investor returns), 
  • lack of disclosure as to the true nature of capital markets and business (educating clients adequately), 
  • short term focused funds (historically, long term funds outperform), 
  • low disclosure of manager turnover rates (how often the person managing your money changes), 

among others. 

To overcome mentioned obstacles, the partnership was formed based on knowledge stemming from one Benjamin Graham who is also commonly known as the father of value investing and notably his famous student Warren Buffett. Additional input was acquired from Columbia Business School (publicly available materials), that still propagates Graham’s approach to investing (contrasted from speculation) with added lines of thought from Yale and IESE Business School via online courses. All of these were then assimilated with principles and philosophies from the likes of Phillip A. Fisher, Kenneth Fisher, Jack Bogle, Peter Lynch and other notable pragmatic investors. Ongoing self conducted research (bottoms up approach) is our key in decision making.

The basic principles and philosophies that are practised within the partnership is what we share in this blog. The reason is to encourage new investors to invest their money wisely into any channel that they understand and trust to enhance wealth, in particular investment in securities/stocks/capital markets. Hence, do spend some time reading our past articles to get a more firm grasp of the ideas and the way we look at investments. 

Hopefully with each write up, someone manages to learn more about finance and gain in their financial well being.


[DISCLOSURE: JR Capital is NOT a mutual fund/unit trust/publicly accessible fund. Under NO circumstance are we promoting/recruiting new partners via this blog for we only accept partners whom we know personally and that share similar investment principles among others.]

Tuesday, 28 April 2015

Why Invest Your Money

Why invest your money?

Everyone works to make money to buy our daily necessities and to fulfil our wants.

Investing your money that your have earned may be difficult for those whom are constantly worrying about rising costs of living. Hence, if you are in this category, you should first manage your finance. Budgeting is necessary to reach a better investment standing. For example;

Table 1 : Monthly income of RM3000
Monthly Expenditures
Rough Amount SpentPercentage of Expenditures
Food
600
20%
Lodging/Rent
600
20%
Travel/Fuel
510
17%
Loans
780
26%
Miscellaneous
510
17%
Total
3000
100%

If you were earning RM3000 monthly and had expenditures as in Table 1, assuming you could save RM300 out of your RM510 allocated for your miscellaneous expenditures, that would come up to a savings of RM300 x 12months = RM3600 each year.

After 5 years, your total savings would be RM19,774.15.

However, calculating RM3600 x 5 = RM18,000.00. So, where did the additional RM1774.15 come from? Well, that is the 3.15% interest you got if you had kept your monthly savings in an FD account. This 3.15% is added to your yearly savings which compounds over time. Compounding just means your actual savings of RM3600 does not merely add RM3600 yearly but it adds 3.15% yearly on your collective savings for the year.

CORRECT
1st year RM3600 + 3.15% = RM3713.40
2nd year (RM3713.40 + RM3600) + 3.15% = RM7543.77

versus

WRONG
1st year RM3600 + 3.15% = RM3713.40
2nd year RM3713.40 + RM3600 = RM7313.40

[All calculations uses a 1 month FD rate of 3.15% and 2014 inflation rate from Bank Negara Malaysia's website]

Well, if you aren't a maths junky, all you have to know is that your savings if kept at a certain rate (%) over time multiplies into a nice big sum. Hence, if your savings is small, the best way to compensate is to get a higher rate (%). This is called investment.

Anything that you put money into that gives a return is investment. Investments are vital as money if kept at 3.15% in a 1month FD account in Malaysia last year,2014, would have given you a real return of -0.05%. Yes, negative 0.05%!

What is a real return? That is how much your savings can buy you today. Real return is also known as your purchasing power. For example, your returns for 2014 if you kept your RM3600 in a 1 month FD account would have come to RM3713.40 no doubt.

BUT, your actual purchasing power is only RM3420.

The calculation is simple;
Inflation for 2014 was 3.2%, your FD was giving 3.15%,
 Inflation - FD Interest  
  3.20%   -    3.15%         = -0.05% (your real return / purchasing power)

If you feel that things are more expensive today with a similar pay from last year, the above is the explanation why. Inflation has eaten off your returns at 3.2% in 2014.

Back to your savings. The more you save the more you will have IF inflation doesn't undercut your returns. Keeping your savings by investing them is an effort to grow your money. The higher the return (%) the more your savings will be after many years.

Below is a Compound Table. Assuming you have saved RM100,000, the below table indicates the compounded value of RM100,000 invested at 5%, 10% and 15% for 10, 20 and 30 years.

Table 2 - Compound table

5%
10%
15%
10 Years
RM162,889
RM259,374
RM404,553
20 Years
RM265,382
RM672,748
RM1,636,640
30 Years
RM432,191
RM1,744,930
RM6,621,140

Notice, the difference of every 5% makes a whole lot of difference when kept over longer periods of 10, 20 and 30 years.

Thus, we conclude that investing is the best way to go forward when it comes to savings and managing your money AFTER you have gotten your BUDGET right.

The better you budget your expenses, the more you will have in the future with the help of compounding interest.


Finally, WHERE TO INVEST?  Well, that is basically explained in every other post in this blog. Browse through should you be interested in growing your wealth.

In brief, this blog recommends investing in stocks/shares/business/public companies as when you buy a stock of a company, you become a part owner of that company. Should that company be a company like Nestle, you can be rest assured it'll continue to do well over the next many years & so will your shares that would be worth a lot more than what you paid for.

I hope this post simplifies the First post of this blog entitled;

This current post "Why Invest Your Money" was at the request of someone who wanted a more simple explanation on investments. As an effort to better upcoming posts, everything will be explained in a more lay and informal manner.

As for the month of April, the stocks in view are,

Oldtown Bhd
- for the longer term,
Bank of Greece (Athens:TELL)
- for the longer term,
Sime Darby Bhd & Air Asia Bhd
- should new listing plans come true.

Until next time, happy budgeting, saving and investing.


[DISCLOSURE: The writer currently owns minority stake in Parkson Holdings Bhd and Oldtown Bhd among the mentioned stocks as of 18/05/2015 under his personal account. JR Capital LLP does NOT own any interest in mentioned stocks as of mentioned date.] 









Friday, 20 March 2015

Behavioral Finance

January to March of 2014 had almost similar trends to that of 2015. Are trends predictable?

As a matter of fact, if you asked Mr Paul Tudor Jones (with over 2 decades of successful trading history & conceivably one of the best traders in the world),
he would say his partner/chart technician and himself managed to "predict" future market trend time and time again using historical market charts (i.e. comparing the Dow Jones index of a previous decade to the current decade).

Paul Tudor Jones, a biography of what it takes to be one of the only supertrader.
http://www.tradinganalysis.com/public/The-Lost-Paul-Tudor-Jones-Video.cfm ]

The point to be made is; Are predictions possible?
If yes, then that person should be the richest man in the world.

Why then would the 3rd richest man in the world (W.Buffett as of 03/2015) amongst others abstain from such an activity?
http://www.forbes.com/billionaires/list/#version:static ]

Dr Richard L. Peterson, a psychologist turned hedge fund manager suggests that it is our innate nature to want to predict the future despite knowing the fact that such a thing is (for now) impossible.

Dr Peterson explains in one of his interviews that our brains gets more excited than the brains of a drug addict just prior drugging himself with cocaine equivalents when we anticipate a monetary gain.

In other words, gambling when described as an act of participating to predict the future for a monetary gain, is addictive whether you like it or not.

That being said, it is opined Mr Tudor participated in behavioral finance in that the stock market prices as he saw them were presumed to be the representative of human behaviors that converged into a single representative predictable manic depressive state that is seen as the Dow Jones index, KLCI index, Hang Seng index etc.

In short, it is predictable how market participants will react because in aggregate they represent people behaving as people. When things are good, prices of stocks generally goes up and when things are bad prices tend to go down.

We are thus suggesting in the long run, predictions are possible. Just because people are manic depressive in that we tend to overreact and lose sight of objectives.

[Note: Behavioral Finance is a study core to value investing that is regarded as the polar opposite of Efficient Market Hypothesis]

The mere fact that the term value investing exist and that most successful fund managers accept this line of thought and their above average results when applied accordingly, it is of course the recommended way for all.

However, it is only natural for the stock market to have participants that are divergent in nature for if not there would not exist a market place i.e. if everyone buys and not sell a single stock, there would not be a stock market per say.

All this leads to a fact that in investments, there will be many paths to high returns. However, a research on a particular group of investors that have constantly beaten the averages over the years would inevitably lead to a conclusive method of investing that will probably never find its permanent place in investing. Be glad as aforementioned, only then would you be able to participate in over average returns.

All said and done, the stocks in view are similar from previous months i.e.;

Guiness Anchor Berhad
- good dividend yield, inelastic demand products, high counterfeit products having government enforcement backing
Berjaya Sports Toto Berhad
- good dividend yield, inelastic demand products,
Oldtown Berhad
- overall good business, high competition industry
Parkson Holdings Berhad
- a high probability turnaround story

[Side note]
Interest rates, one of the major factors that affect financial assets, should be given more attention as of late complimenting a bottoms up approach to investment (value investing). Many countries have revised their interest rates lower which usually inflates financial assets (suggested to be good i.e. previously cheaper Japan and UK stocks).
However, with currency fluctuations factored in and the U.S. rate hike speculations, investing in businesses with higher regard to country specifics is recommended.

In conclusion, happy investing in lieu of speculation.

Friday, 27 February 2015

Parkson Bhd

Disregarding emotion based investment ideas, Parkson Bhd seems to be one of the better stock since March 2014.

Some may disagree but continue reading.

(Note: Everything below is investment in Parkson Bhd starting early 2014)

Parkson Bhd has been one of the highest dividend yielding (stock dividend valued at NTA) stock. It would have paid out 17.978% of stock dividends by 26/03/2015.
In other words, your holdings would have increased in that percentage based on the number of shares owned.

E.g. in monetary value;

Previosly,
1200 shares purchased at RM2.50 = total RM3000.00
Now (after 3 stock dividend give outs)
1415 shares valued at RM2.50 = total RM3537.50

Hence, RM537.50/RM3000.00 x 100%
= a gain of 17.91% in Ringgit Malaysia.

[Calculations are absent costs. Additionally, all odd shares should additionally earn future cash dividends]

Parkson Bhd is selling less than Net Tangible Assets (NTA), which increased further (above RM2.50) due to the RM300,000,000 plus total cash raised from property disposal & latest reinvestments in properties i.e. Melaka project. Companies that sell lower than their assets while still running a profitable business tend to usually reward investors in the longer run with inevitable asset sales trickling into investors pockets.

Parkson Bhd is diversified in retail and do not hold any manufacturing risks, just profit/loss risk from selling other brand's merchandise via their extensive (China >60%, Malaysia >20%, Indonesia, Vietnam, Myanmar) distribution channels.
[Getting brands and promoting brands is Parkson's core model]

Parkson Bhd is the controlling holder of operations in all of its operating countries. Parkson Retail Asia and Parkson Retail Group to a large extend bear all risks of future operations.

In other word, Parkson Bhd just owns a lot of cash, assets and rights to lots of dividends.

Should somehow Parkson become redundant, they can sell off their assets (maybe to Aeon) and perhaps venture into property development (previously ran) or buy a few Oldtown Bhds (Currently, Parkson Bhd has enough cash to buy Oldtown Bhd and still be left with a couple of hundred million ringgit to spare).

If you noticed, there has been an indicator to Parkson Bhd's share price for the past 6 years which has not gone wrong up to date. The latest last indicator would suggest a price of RM2.90 and above by 2nd half of 2015.
[This is a self conducted research based on 6yr past statistics. The price above is post-adjusted for the latest 20:1 share dividend]

Parkson Bhd's price have plummeted largely as due their 5 year revaluation plan (now turning into a lifestyle mall operator), PRC's austerity drive, increased new loss making stores, temporarily closed stores, being biased in sympathy to Lion Group that is separately owned & listed, higher competition from brick and mortar competitors and online, not having any self produced brands, dull customer reward system, all in all maintaining an old established brand in a new retailing scene.

However, reading Mr. Cheng Heng Jem's review should enlighten those whom are too busy speculating as to Parkson's future found in Parkson Retail Group Ltd's latest report under title; (scroll to page 13)

MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
BRAVING THE CHALLENGE
[ http://www.parksongroup.com.cn/upload/201502/142373042954029200.pdf ]

Consider changes that have been made in the past 1 year found in Parkson Bhd's latest interim report page 8.

BANKS RESEARCH REPORTS
Please be cautioned, banks that provide reports on companies have conflicting fiduciary duties inherent to them trying to sell their investment products as such unit trust instruments whilst trying to provide unbiased reports for successful individual retail investing.

[More on Research Reports, Parkson & others];
Part 1 http://iliveidreamitranscend.blogspot.com/2014/08/research-report-rr-it-is-recommended-as.html
Part 2 http://iliveidreamitranscend.blogspot.com/2014/08/research-report-parkson.html

Further consider the valuations worldwide in 2015 i.e. Twitter/Tesla. They are valued rather substantially considering their little or no profits nor sufficient asset backing.

Should anyone be able to find a better value company (qualitative & quantitative), please generously share your findings.

Thank you & happy investing.